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Italian Business Trends




Recent issues of Italian Business Trends are available here for immediate download as PDF documents.

Issues currently available for download:

issue published on May 8 2011 £ 35

issue published on October 31 2010 £ 35

issue published on April 30 2010 £ 35

issue published on January 10 2010 £ 35

issue published on October 10 2009 £ 35

issue published on June 30 2009 £ 35

issue published on May 14 2009 £ 35

issue published on July 5 2008 £ 35

issue published on May 16 2008 £ 35

issue published on January 31 2008 £ 35

issue published on November 26 2007 £ 35

issue published on July 7 2007 £ 25



 

Issue Published May 8 2011

24 pages

In this issue

The National Scene

THREE MORE YEARS OF AUSTERITY

By overcoming repeated Parliamentary ambushes and beating his most insidious opponents, Berlusconi has demonstrated that until the next elections there is no alternative to him and his Government alliance. But he has not yet demonstrated that he can rule effectively during the remaining two years of this Parliament. For this reason, early elections remain a possibility, although not an immediate one.

Italy's Agenda

A survey of the context, background and current state of the main projects currently in Parliament:

  • Breakthrough for fiscal federalism
  • Experts at work on Irpef reform
  • FIAT rewrites industrial relation rules
  • Justice reform between emergency and strategy

Companies and Sectors

  • FIAT seeks early consolidation of Chrysler.
  • Recapitalisations bound to cause heavy bank restructuring
  • Lactalis throws down the gauntlet at Parmalat
  • Boom causes U-turn on photovoltaic incentives

Recent Data

Five pages with the latest figures at the time of publication and the historical series for:
GDP and components, industrial production, manufacturing turnover and new orders, retail sales, car sales, labour force, employed, unemployed, employment in large companies, consumer prices, producer prices, imported raw material prices, hourly wages, company labour costs, exports, imports and the trade balance, the balance of State finances.






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Issue Published October 31 2010

20 pages

In this issue

The National Scene

MAJORITY WOBBLES

As feared at the start of the summer, electoral success has not been enough to strengthen the Government of Silvio Berlusconi. On the contrary, the Prime Minister is at his lowest ebb in this Parliament, faced with a real threat of paralysis and defeat.

Only a few months ago Regional elections confirmed that the Prime Minister coalition enjoyed a strong advantage in the country, in spite of the economic crisis and of a new leadership in the opposition Democratic Party. However, already at the time it was clear that Berlusconi was confronted by the most insidious threat, that of internal dissent. Since then dissent has developed into open warfare and although the Prime Minister remains at Palazzo Chigi the threat to his Government and effectiveness has not gone away.

Italy's Agenda

A survey of the context, background and current state of the main projects currently in Parliament:

  • Uphill struggle to change wiretapping rules
  • Short trial reform remains in the slow lane
  • Spring target for Lodo Alfano
  • Fiscal federalism approaching milestone
  • Last stretch for University reform
  • A new budget session begins

Companies and Sectors

  • Moderate Unions show Marchionne way out of dead-end
  • New Unicredit CEO to review strategy
  • Telecom ends Argentine ordeal

Recent Data

Five pages with the latest figures at the time of publication and the historical series for:
GDP and components, industrial production, manufacturing turnover and new orders, retail sales, car sales, labour force, employed, unemployed, employment in large companies, consumer prices, producer prices, imported raw material prices, hourly wages, company labour costs, exports, imports and the trade balance, the balance of State finances.






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Issue Published April 30 2010

20 pages

In this issue

The National Scene

VICTORIOUS BERLUSCONI CONFRONTS ALLIANCE CRITICS

Why is there talk of a early dissolution of Parliament and of new elections ? The ruling centre-right majority of Prime Minister Berlusconi has just won a remarkable victory at the Regional elections, the Prime Minister and his colleagues enjoy a high level of approval, the economic policy of Giulio Tremonti seems to be vindicated especially in view of the Greek financial crisis, the opposition is ineffective, and ahead lies three years with no elections, three years which could be the golden age of the Berlusconi premiership – a period of stability and reform. Why, then, this talk of early elections ?

The reason is the sharpening of dissent within the majority. For the moment dissent is circumscribed and accompanied by a degree of Parliamentary restraint. It may remain an irritant instead of becoming an impediment to effective Government action. But the risk that it turns into such a sizeable problem as to induce the Prime Minister to resign and ask for new elections is not negligible.

Italy's Agenda

A survey of the context, background and current state of the main projects currently in Parliament:

  • Urgent incentive decree
  • Lodo Alfano
  • Legittimo impedimento
  • Short trials
  • Telephone tapping
  • Living will
  • Justice reform
  • Fiscal federalism
  • Collegato Lavoro

Companies and Sectors

  • FIAT defies crisis with five-year growth plan
  • Generali: a more assertive role ?
  • New competition rules promote gas storage expansion

Recent Data

Five pages with the latest figures at the time of publication and the historical series for:
GDP and components, industrial production, manufacturing turnover and new orders, retail sales, car sales, labour force, employed, unemployed, employment in large companies, consumer prices, producer prices, imported raw material prices, hourly wages, company labour costs, exports, imports and the trade balance, the balance of State finances.






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Issue Published January 10 2010

20 pages

In this issue

The National Scene

PRUDENCE TO THE FORE

This must have been the blandest Italian State Budget of modern times, and also the blandest annual budget approved by any Western country during the present economic crisis. It does not raise taxes, or cut them. It does not raise expenditure or reduce it, except at the margin. It will have little or no effect on the economy beyond the very short term.

It represents, in other words, the triumph of Treasury Minister Giulio Tremonti. It was Tremonti that was determined to impose an anodyne budget. It was he who successfully opposed all attempts to use the 2010 budget as an instrument to boost the economy and to finance long term structural projects.

Italy's Agenda

A survey of the context, background and current state of the main projects currently in Parliament:

  • Lodo Alfano
  • Legittimo impedimento
  • Trial terms
  • Institutional reforms
  • Justice reform
  • Living will
  • Citizenship
  • Local services
  • Universities
  • Energy
  • Class action
  • Budget procedures
  • Fiscal devolution

Companies and Sectors

  • FIAT motivated to expand Italian car output.
  • Telco shareholders extend Telecom stalemate.
  • Treasury blocks digital divide funds.
  • Bank leaders forego Tremonti bonds.
  • Fininvest expands Spanish activities.

Recent Data

Five pages with the latest figures at the time of publication and the historical series for:
GDP and components, industrial production, manufacturing turnover and new orders, retail sales, car sales, labour force, employed, unemployed, employment in large companies, consumer prices, producer prices, imported raw material prices, hourly wages, company labour costs, exports, imports and the trade balance, the balance of State finances.






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at the cost of £ 35.

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Issue Published October 10 2009

20 pages

In this issue

The National Scene

TROUBLED YET EFFECTIVE

A year after the inception of the world financial crisis, the Berlusconi Government has reasons to be satisfied.

It has managed to remain faithful to its public finance strategy, it has coped well with two emergencies (the Naples rubbish crisis and the L’Aquila earthquake), it has managed to launch several important structural reforms, and it is enjoying a good level of public support . There have been failures and mistakes, but the net result has been rather satisfactory.

If its expectation of an economic recovery in 2010 proves correct, the Government should be able to pursue its reformist policies whilst continuing to enjoy a good level of support – in spite of some potentially unfavourable political developments.

Italy's Agenda

A survey of the context, background and current state of the main projects currently in Parliament:

  • Lodo Alfano
  • Criminal Procedure
  • Wiretapping
  • Living Will
  • Local Government
  • Anti-Crisis Package
  • Nuclear Power
  • Class Action
  • 2010 Budget

Companies and Sectors

  • Full steam ahead toward nuclear power
  • Telecom unable to solve Telefónica conundrum
  • RAI breaks Sky Italia partnership

Recent Data

Five pages with the latest figures at the time of publication and the historical series for:
GDP and components, industrial production, manufacturing turnover and new orders, retail sales, car sales, labour force, employed, unemployed, employment in large companies, consumer prices, producer prices, imported raw material prices, hourly wages, company labour costs, exports, imports and the trade balance, the balance of State finances.






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at the cost of £ 35.

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Issue Published June 30 2009

20 pages

In this issue

The National Scene

BERLUSCONI MISSES THE TARGET

It was a failure. Berlusconi won the European elections, but missed the target that he had publicly set himself. The opposition lost even more; the gap that separates it from PDL is wider than before. But the opposition was just seeking to survive. Berlusconi was aiming to finally establish himself as the democratic master of Italian politics. With respect not to the vote outcome, but to what they were trying to achieve, Berlusconi lost and the opposition won.

Italy's Agenda

A survey of the context, background and current state of the main projects currently in Parliament:

  • Opposition scores own goal on security bill
  • Confidence vote sets wiretapping bill on way to Senate
  • Calderoli shapes Local Government reform Bill
  • Renewal of high schools finalised
  • Brunetta blackmails Cabinet into support
  • Last stretch for collegati, hopefully
  • Housing plan left roofless

Companies and Sectors

  • Marchionne forced to curtail FIAT ambitions
  • Digital divisions

Recent Data

Five pages with the latest figures at the time of publication and the historical series for:
GDP and components, industrial production, manufacturing turnover and new orders, retail sales, car sales, labour force, employed, unemployed, employment in large companies, consumer prices, producer prices, imported raw material prices, hourly wages, company labour costs, exports, imports and the trade balance, the balance of State finances.






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availabe as a PDF download
at the cost of £ 35.

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Issue Published May 14 2009

27 pages

In this issue

The National Scene

BERLUSCONI’S MAGIC MOMENT

Elsewhere in Europe the economic crisis has overflown into politics putting ruling parties and leaders on the defensive, but in Italy Berlusconi has achieved an unprecedented level of popularity and of political dominance – with the prospect of further victories in the months ahead. Polls show Berlusconi enjoying a high level of support, higher than in the aftermath of his election victory a year ago.

Italy's Agenda

A survey of the context, background and current state of the main projects currently in Parliament:

  • Majority and opposition agree vote rule changes
  • Majority at odds on security bill
  • Allies moderate wire tapping project
  • Living will project delayed
  • University reform: caution wins the day
  • Eart
  • hquake delays extension of anti-crisis measures
  • Brunetta promises to consult
  • Fiscal federalism approved
  • Summer hope for collegati
  • New rumblings of constitutional reform
  • Public sector signs up to negotiation reform.

Companies and Sectors

  • Treasury ready to launch Tremonti bonds.
  • FIAT foreign ventures cause disquiet at home

Recent Data

Five pages with the latest figures at the time of publication and the historical series for:
GDP and components, industrial production, manufacturing turnover and new orders, retail sales, car sales, labour force, employed, unemployed, employment in large companies, consumer prices, producer prices, imported raw material prices, hourly wages, company labour costs, exports, imports and the trade balance, the balance of State finances.






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Issue Published July 5 2008

20 pages

In this issue

The National Scene

SURFACE STORM MENACES CONSENSUS BUILDING

Political conflict threatens to eclipse growing national policy consensus. Disagreements about recent government initiatives and a strategy conflict within the main opposition party risk to overshadow the large substantive agreement now existing within the national political leadership

Italy's Agenda

A survey of the context, background and current state of the main projects currently in Parliament:

  • The background
  • Security package re-ignites conflict with activist judiciary.
  • Prosecutors and journalists attack wiretapping limits.
  • Tax cut bill nears approval.
  • Fiscal devolution discussions continue.
  • Industrial relations renewal launched.
  • Early show for 2009 Budget package.

Companies and Sectors

  • A nuclear rethink ? visit.
  • ENI wins Distrigas deal.
  • Hesitations on new utility merger project.

Recent Data

Five pages with the latest figures at the time of publication and the historical series for:
GDP and components, industrial production, manufacturing turnover and new orders, retail sales, car sales, labour force, employed, unemployed, employment in large companies, consumer prices, producer prices, imported raw material prices, hourly wages, company labour costs, exports, imports and the trade balance, the balance of State finances.






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Issue Published May 16 2008

20 pages

In this issue

The National Scene

A NEW ERA

The April elections ended a sixteen year transition period and gave Parliament the potential to be the most effective since the start of the Republic. They may also have transformed the national political climate.

Italy's Agenda

A survey of the context, background and current state of the main projects currently in Parliament:

  • Electoral reform, once more
  • Fiscal federalism bill already in Parliament
  • Industrial relations breakthrough ?

Companies and Sectors

  • A nuclear rethink ? visit.
  • Finmeccanica spends big to access American market.
  • Alitalia: no pilot, no route and almost no fuel.

Recent Data

Five pages with the latest figures at the time of publication and the historical series for:
GDP and components, industrial production, manufacturing turnover and new orders, retail sales, car sales, labour force, employed, unemployed, employment in large companies, consumer prices, producer prices, imported raw material prices, hourly wages, company labour costs, exports, imports and the trade balance, the balance of State finances.






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Issue Published January 31 2008

20 pages

In this issue

The National Scene

FALL OF PRODI SPELLS EARLY ELECTIONS

President Napolitano is seeking to avoid an early dissolution of Parliament in spite of the collapse of the majority which, under the leadership of Romano Prodi, won the elections less than two years ago. The President would like to bring about a temporary Government which rules the country for the time needed to change the electoral system. However, attempts made in the weeks before the fall of Prodi have shown that there is no wide enough agreement in the present Parliament to achieve a consensus.

Italy's Agenda

A survey of the context, background and current state of the main projects currently in Parliament:

  • Veltroni fails to bridge gap on electoral reform.
  • Centre-left misses (again) chance of legislating on conflict of interest and broadcasting.
  • Blitz secures class action law.
  • Besieged liberalisations will expire with Parliament.
  • Unions weary of industrial relations talks without Government involvement.

Companies and Sectors

  • Kazakhstan reassures ENI after Prodi visit.
  • Malpensa fights rearguard action against AirFrance-KLM bid for Alitalia.
  • ENI agrees to share Kashagan leadership.
  • A2A seeks greater role in Edison tie-up.

Recent Data

Five pages with the latest figures at the time of publication and the historical series for:
GDP and components, industrial production, manufacturing turnover and new orders, retail sales, car sales, labour force, employed, unemployed, employment in large companies, consumer prices, producer prices, imported raw material prices, hourly wages, company labour costs, exports, imports and the trade balance, the balance of State finances.






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Issue Published November 26 2007

24 pages

In this issue

The National Scene

DEMOCRATIC PARTY MISSES ITS BEST CHANCE

The chance that the ruling centre-left coalition and the Prodi Government would derive new vitality from the creation of the Democratic Party has being missed. However long the Prodi administration lasts, it will have no effectiveness and will owe its continuation to fear or rejection of the alternatives – above all fear of early elections.

Italy's Agenda

A survey of the context, background and current state of the main projects currently in Parliament:

  • Electoral referendum project passes first hurdle.
  • Welfare Protocol at heart of Budget debate.
  • Senate committee halts liberalisation debate

Companies and Sectors

  • Kazakhstan reassures ENI after Prodi visit.
  • Prato prepares Alitalia’s final act.
  • Anatel delays its and Telecom’s decisions.
  • Is a return to nuclear power feasible ?

Recent Data

Five pages with the latest figures at the time of publication and the historical series for:
GDP and components, industrial production, manufacturing turnover and new orders, retail sales, car sales, labour force, employed, unemployed, employment in large companies, consumer prices, producer prices, imported raw material prices, hourly wages, company labour costs, exports, imports and the trade balance, the balance of State finances.






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at the cost of £ 35.

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Issue Published July 20 2007

24 pages

In this issue

The National Scene

COALITION PREPARES SUBSTITUTE FOR WORNOUT PRODI

By deciding to increase 2007 public spending by € 6.5 billion whilst delaying a deal on pension reform, Romano Prodi has supplied new evidence of his Government ineffectiveness.

Italy's Agenda

A survey of the context, background and current state of the main projects currently in Parliament:

  • Election rules: Prodi takes charge.
  • Pension, welfare and labour talks start.
  • Unions regain old role as talks widen .
  • A new liberalisation drive.
  • Interest wanes in financial income tax reform.
  • Regions obtain fiscal devolution rethink.
  • Unmarried couples project left to its own devices.
  • A comeback for Castelli justice rules ?
  • Broadcasting and conflict of interest

Companies and Sectors

  • Telecom Italia made to pay for Pirelli problems.
  • Endesa breakthrough for ENEL.
  • Albertis ponders Autostrade comeback.
  • Three left for Alitalia privatisation.

Recent Data

Five pages with the latest figures at the time of publication and the historical series for:
GDP and components, industrial production, manufacturing turnover and new orders, retail sales, car sales, labour force, employed, unemployed, employment in large companies, consumer prices, producer prices, imported raw material prices, hourly wages, company labour costs, exports, imports and the trade balance, the balance of State finances.






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at the cost of £ 25.

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